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ChanceForge

Run a virtual casino, investigate insurance company math, predict sports outcomes, and solve medical diagnosis puzzles — mastering probability and statistics through real-world contexts where the math

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Meet your mentor

Every Spark & Anvil app has a friendly mentor character that demonstrates, praises, and patiently scaffolds learning. On-device AI personalizes the mentor's responses to your kid's progress — never connecting to a server, never collecting data.

ChanceForge mascot demonstrating
demonstrating
ChanceForge mascot praising
praising
ChanceForge mascot thinking
thinking
ChanceForge mascot working
working
ChanceForge mascot encouraging
encouraging
In planning 8 themed avatar accessories Swift 6 · SwiftUI · FoundationModels NGSS CCSS Math ISTE Hero color: #29B6F6

ChanceForge is a probability, statistics, and data science lab where you flip coins, roll dice, run a virtual casino, investigate insurance math, predict sports outcomes, and solve medical diagnosis puzzles. You will discover why randomness has patterns, why the house always wins, and why statistics

What's inside

Probability Foundations

Flip coins, roll dice, and spin spinners. Make predictions, then run the experiments and compare your guess to what actually happens. Watch the experimental pro

Compound Events

Build probability tree diagrams for events with multiple steps. What is the probability of flipping heads AND rolling a 6? Use the multiplication rule for indep

Distribution Explorer

Collect data and build histograms in real time. Calculate mean, median, mode, range, and standard deviation. See how different distributions look — symmetric, s

Sampling Lab

Discover why polling works — and why it sometimes fails. Sample from a virtual population and see how random samples represent the whole. Compare random samplin

Mentored by Chance — on-device AI, no data leaves the device.

How ChanceForge handles your kid's data

  • ✅ All progress, settings, and AI-generated content stays on the device
  • ✅ No analytics, no tracking, no third-party SDKs
  • ✅ No ads, no in-app purchases — you pay once
  • ✅ COPPA compliant under the 2026 FTC amendments
  • ✅ Parental controls + session limits + content filters built in

Full parent privacy guide →

Built with ForgeKit

ChanceForge runs on ForgeKit — the open-source Swift Package Manager framework that powers every Spark & Anvil app. ForgeKit ensures consistent accessibility, COPPA compliance, and design language across the portfolio, so your kid's progress and preferences feel coherent across every app they touch.

Coming to the App Store

ChanceForge is in active development. Email us to hear when it ships — no marketing, no spam, just a one-shot launch announcement.

Email me at launch